Saturday · May 23 · 3:07 pm ✦
PIRATES @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Pirates
2
BLUE JAYS
5
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 2–5 Blue Jays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 64% | 36% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
26–19
58% across 45 games
Blue Jays this season
20–25
44% across 45 games