Wednesday · May 13 · 7:07 PM ✦
RAYS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Rays
3
BLUE JAYS
5
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 3–5 Blue Jays
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 29% | 71% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 31% | 69% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 60% | 40% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
17–25
40% across 42 games
Blue Jays this season
20–25
44% across 45 games