Friday · May 22 ✦
PIRATES @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre.
Final
Pirates
2
BLUE JAYS
6
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 2–6 Blue Jays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games