Tuesday · May 12 ✦
RAYS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre.
Final
RAYS
7
Blue Jays
6
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 7–6 Rays
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 56% | 44% | 3–2 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 35% | 65% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
17–25
40% across 42 games
Blue Jays this season
20–25
44% across 45 games