Monday · May 11 ✦
RAYS @ BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre.
Final
RAYS
8
Blue Jays
5
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 8–5 Rays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Blue Jays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
17–25
40% across 42 games
Blue Jays this season
20–25
44% across 45 games