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Monday · May 11 ✦

RAYS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre.

Final

RAYS 8
Blue Jays 5

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 8–5 Rays

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53% 3–4
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 52% 48%
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

17–25

40% across 42 games

Blue Jays this season

20–25

44% across 45 games