RED SOX @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Red Sox 1

BLUE JAYS 8

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 1–8 Blue Jays

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation	Pick	Red Sox	Blue Jays	Projected	Result
Baseline	Boston Red Sox	53%	47%	4–4	✗
Pitcher-weighted	Toronto Blue Jays	45%	55%	3–3	✓
Platoon-weighted	Boston Red Sox	62%	38%	4–3	✗
Pitcher + Platoon	Toronto Blue Jays	47%	53%	4–4	✓
Logistic	Toronto Blue Jays	47%	53%	—	✓
Random Forest	Toronto Blue Jays	32%	68%	—	✓
Consensus	Toronto Blue Jays	47%	53%	4–3	✓

4 of 6 sims got it right.

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Blue Jays this season

20–26

43% across 46 games