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Tuesday · April 28 · 7:07 PM ✦

RED SOX @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Red Sox 0
BLUE JAYS 3

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 0–3 Blue Jays

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 35% 65% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 35% 65% 3–4
Logistic Boston Red Sox 56% 44%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 33% 67%
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 46% 54% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Blue Jays this season

20–26

43% across 46 games