Back to the recap

Sunday · April 26 · 1:38 PM ✦

GUARDIANS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Guardians 2
BLUE JAYS 4

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 6–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 2–4 Blue Jays

61%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 71% 29% 6–3
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 78% 22% 5–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 76% 24% 6–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 75% 25% 6–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 50% 50%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 30% 70%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 61% 39% 6–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

23–24

49% across 47 games

Blue Jays this season

20–26

43% across 46 games