Back to the recap

Monday · April 27 · 7:07 pm ✦

RED SOX @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

RED SOX 5
Blue Jays 0

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 5–0 Red Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 60% 40% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 55% 45% 5–4
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 45% 55%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 47% 53%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 52% 48% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Blue Jays this season

20–26

43% across 46 games