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Saturday · April 11 · 3:08 PM ✦

TWINS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

TWINS 7
Blue Jays 4

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 7–4 Twins

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 38% 62% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56% 3–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 50% 50%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 49% 51%
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 44% 56% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

23–24

49% across 47 games

Blue Jays this season

20–27

43% across 47 games