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Sunday · March 29 · 1:37 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ BLUE JAYS

Rogers Centre. · 68 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Athletics 2
BLUE JAYS 5

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 2–5 Blue Jays

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Blue Jays Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 56% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Athletics 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 45% 55%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 39% 61%
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 49% 50% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

31–17

65% across 48 games

Blue Jays this season

20–27

43% across 47 games