Thursday · September 24 · 1:38 PM ✦
METS @ RANGERS
Globe Life Field. · 74 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Mets
1
RANGERS
3
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 1–3 Rangers
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Rangers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Texas Rangers | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Texas Rangers | 34% | 66% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Rangers this season
87–68
56% across 155 games