← Back to the recap

Saturday · September 19 · 6:05 pm ✦

BLUE JAYS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 74 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Blue Jays 2
RANGERS 6

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 2–6 Rangers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 56% 44% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 56% 44% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% — ✗
Random Forest Texas Rangers 41% 59% — ✓
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 52% 48% 4–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games