Thursday · September 17 · 7:05 pm ✦
RED SOX @ RANGERS
Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
RED SOX
4
Rangers
3
Our Pick
TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Texas Rangers · Actual: 4–3 Red Sox
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Rangers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Texas Rangers | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Texas Rangers | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Texas Rangers | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Texas Rangers | 31% | 69% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Texas Rangers | 50% | 50% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Rangers this season
87–68
56% across 155 games