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Tuesday · September 15 · 7:05 pm ✦

RED SOX @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Red Sox 2
RANGERS 4

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Texas Rangers · Actual: 2–4 Rangers

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 5–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 36% 64% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Texas Rangers 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest Texas Rangers 37% 63% — ✓
Consensus Texas Rangers 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games