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Saturday · September 5 · 6:05 pm ✦

RAYS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

RAYS 6
Rangers 3

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Texas Rangers · Actual: 6–3 Rays

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 56% 44% — ✓
Random Forest Texas Rangers 28% 72% — ✗
Consensus Texas Rangers 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games