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Friday · September 4 · 7:05 pm ✦

RAYS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

RAYS 7
Rangers 6

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 7–6 Rays

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 59% 41% — ✓
Random Forest Texas Rangers 36% 64% — ✗
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games