← Back to the recap

Thursday · September 3 · 7:05 pm ✦

RAYS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Rays 0
RANGERS 6

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Texas Rangers · Actual: 0–6 Rangers

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Texas Rangers 48% 52% — ✓
Random Forest Texas Rangers 35% 65% — ✓
Consensus Texas Rangers 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games