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Friday · August 7 · 7:15 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Orioles 1
RANGERS 2

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Texas Rangers · Actual: 1–2 Rangers

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 44% 56% 4–4
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 53% 47%
Random Forest Texas Rangers 37% 63%
Consensus Texas Rangers 49% 51% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

67–54

55% across 121 games

Rangers this season

68–55

55% across 123 games