Back to the recap

Sunday · July 26 · 1:38 PM ✦

MARINERS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 74 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

MARINERS 6
Rangers 4

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 6–4 Mariners

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 62% 38% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic Seattle Mariners 51% 49%
Random Forest Texas Rangers 47% 53%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 54% 46% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

75–47

61% across 122 games

Rangers this season

68–55

55% across 123 games