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Saturday · July 11 · 6:05 pm ✦

ASTROS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

ASTROS 9
Rangers 3

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Texas Rangers · Actual: 9–3 Astros

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 49% 51% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 56% 44% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 40% 60% 4–5
Logistic Houston Astros 55% 45%
Random Forest Texas Rangers 36% 64%
Consensus Texas Rangers 49% 51% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

69–53

57% across 122 games

Rangers this season

69–55

56% across 124 games