Sunday · July 12 · 1:38 PM ✦
ASTROS @ RANGERS
Globe Life Field. · 74 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Astros
5
RANGERS
6
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 5–6 Rangers
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Rangers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Texas Rangers | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Texas Rangers | 31% | 69% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Rangers this season
87–68
56% across 155 games