Friday · July 10 · 7:05 pm ✦
ASTROS @ RANGERS
Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Astros
3
RANGERS
7
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 3–7 Rangers
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Rangers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Texas Rangers | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Texas Rangers | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Rangers this season
87–68
56% across 155 games