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Sunday · July 5 · 2:35 PM ✦

TIGERS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 74 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

TIGERS 6
Rangers 3

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 6–3 Tigers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 44% 56% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 69% 31% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 58% 42% 4–3
Logistic Detroit Tigers 53% 47%
Random Forest Texas Rangers 45% 55%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 54% 46% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

55–28

66% across 83 games

Rangers this season

46–38

55% across 84 games