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Thursday · July 2 · 7:05 pm ✦

TIGERS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Tigers 4
RANGERS 10

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 4–10 Rangers

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 58% 42% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 64% 36% 4–2
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 65% 35% 3–3
Logistic Detroit Tigers 52% 48%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 72% 28%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 58% 42% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

55–28

66% across 83 games

Rangers this season

46–38

55% across 84 games