Saturday · June 20 · 3:09 PM ✦
PADRES @ RANGERS
Globe Life Field. · 74 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PADRES
6
Rangers
4
Our Pick
TEXAS RANGERS
✗ WrongProjected: 2–3 Texas Rangers · Actual: 6–4 Padres
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Rangers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Texas Rangers | 35% | 65% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Texas Rangers | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Texas Rangers | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Texas Rangers | 29% | 71% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Texas Rangers | 43% | 57% | 2–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Rangers this season
87–68
56% across 155 games