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Thursday · June 18 · 1:39 PM ✦

TWINS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 74 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

TWINS 9
Rangers 3

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 2–3 Texas Rangers · Actual: 9–3 Twins

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 38% 62% 2–4
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 47% 53% 2–3
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 31% 69% 2–4
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 40% 60% 2–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 56% 44%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 62% 38%
Consensus Texas Rangers 45% 55% 2–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

49–37

57% across 86 games

Rangers this season

47–38

55% across 85 games