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Thursday · May 28 ✦

ASTROS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field.

Final

ASTROS 5
Rangers 1

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Texas Rangers · Actual: 5–1 Astros

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 64% 36% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 33% 67% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 55% 45% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Texas Rangers 35% 65% — ✗
Random Forest Houston Astros 55% 45% — ✓
Consensus Texas Rangers 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games