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Tuesday · May 26 ✦

ASTROS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field.

Final

Astros 7
RANGERS 10

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 7–10 Rangers

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 58% 42% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 58% 42% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic Texas Rangers 46% 54%
Random Forest Houston Astros 57% 43%
Consensus Houston Astros 55% 45% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

52–34

60% across 86 games

Rangers this season

47–39

55% across 86 games