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Friday · April 24 ✦

ATHLETICS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field.

Final

ATHLETICS 8
Rangers 1

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Texas Rangers · Actual: 8–1 Athletics

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 45% 55% 4–5
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 38% 62% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic Texas Rangers 39% 61%
Random Forest Athletics 57% 43%
Consensus Texas Rangers 46% 54% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

30–17

64% across 47 games

Rangers this season

28–17

62% across 45 games