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Thursday · April 23 · 7:05 pm ✦

PIRATES @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Pirates 1
RANGERS 6

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Texas Rangers · Actual: 1–6 Rangers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 60% 40% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 49% 3–4
Logistic Texas Rangers 37% 63%
Random Forest Texas Rangers 36% 64%
Consensus Texas Rangers 46% 54% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games

Rangers this season

28–17

62% across 45 games