Wednesday · April 22 · 7:05 pm ✦
PIRATES @ RANGERS
Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PIRATES
8
Rangers
4
Our Pick
TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Texas Rangers · Actual: 8–4 Pirates
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Rangers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Texas Rangers | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Texas Rangers | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Texas Rangers | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Texas Rangers | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Texas Rangers | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Texas Rangers | 48% | 52% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
26–21
55% across 47 games
Rangers this season
28–17
62% across 45 games