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Tuesday · April 21 · 7:05 pm ✦

PIRATES @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Pirates 1
RANGERS 5

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Texas Rangers · Actual: 1–5 Rangers

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 62% 38% 5–4
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 38% 62% 3–4
Logistic Texas Rangers 46% 54%
Random Forest Texas Rangers 40% 60%
Consensus Texas Rangers 44% 56% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games

Rangers this season

28–17

62% across 45 games