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Friday · April 3 · 3:08 PM ✦

REDS @ RANGERS

Globe Life Field. · 74 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

REDS 5
Rangers 3

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Texas Rangers · Actual: 5–3 Reds

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Rangers Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 45% 55% 5–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 56% 44% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 51% 49%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 52% 48%
Consensus Texas Rangers 49% 51% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

31–16

66% across 47 games

Rangers this season

29–17

63% across 46 games