Saturday · September 19 · 4:10 PM ✦
RED SOX @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Red Sox
1
RAYS
2
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 1–2 Rays
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 34% | 66% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games