Sunday · September 20 · 1:40 PM ✦
RED SOX @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Red Sox
1
RAYS
5
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 1–5 Rays
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games