Friday · September 18 · 7:10 pm ✦
RED SOX @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
RED SOX
4
Rays
2
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 4–2 Red Sox
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games