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Tuesday · September 15 · 6:40 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Athletics 1
RAYS 2

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 1–2 Rays

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Rays Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Athletics 62% 38% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 36% 64% 4–5 ✓
Logistic Athletics 54% 46% — ✗
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 28% 72% — ✓
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 46% 54% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games