Saturday · September 12 · 6:10 pm ✦
ASTROS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Astros
2
RAYS
3
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 2–3 Rays
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 32% | 68% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games