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Sunday · September 13 · 1:40 PM ✦

ASTROS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Astros 4
RAYS 14

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 4–14 Rays

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Rays Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 42% 58% — ✓
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games