Tuesday · September 1 · 6:40 pm ✦
METS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Mets
2
RAYS
6
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 New York Mets · Actual: 2–6 Rays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 60% | 40% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games