Friday · September 11 · 7:10 pm ✦
ASTROS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Astros
1
RAYS
3
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 1–3 Rays
59%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 31% | 69% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 41% | 59% | 3–4 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games