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Wednesday · September 2 · 6:40 pm ✦

METS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

METS 10
Rays 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 10–4 Mets

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Rays Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 45% 55% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 56% 44% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Logistic New York Mets 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 30% 70% — ✗
Consensus New York Mets 50% 50% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games