Monday · August 31 · 6:40 PM ✦
METS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
METS
3
Rays
2
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 3–2 Mets
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 35% | 65% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games