Sunday · August 30 · 1:40 PM ✦
PADRES @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Padres
4
RAYS
5
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 4–5 Rays
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 58% | 40% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 38% | 62% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 47% | 52% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games