Thursday · August 20 · 1:10 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
BLUE JAYS
5
Rays
1
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 5–1 Blue Jays
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 64% | 36% | 3–2 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
60–63
49% across 123 games
Rays this season
61–60
50% across 121 games