Friday · August 28 · 7:10 pm ✦
PADRES @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Padres
4
RAYS
9
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 4–9 Rays
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 62% | 38% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 64% | 36% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games