Saturday · August 29 · 4:10 PM ✦
PADRES @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Padres
6
RAYS
7
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 6–7 Rays
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 30% | 70% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games