Wednesday · August 19 · 6:40 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Blue Jays
6
RAYS
7
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 6–7 Rays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 34% | 66% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
60–63
49% across 123 games
Rays this season
61–60
50% across 121 games