Tuesday · August 18 · 6:40 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
BLUE JAYS
10
Rays
5
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 10–5 Blue Jays
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 25% | 75% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games