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Tuesday · August 18 · 6:40 pm ✦

BLUE JAYS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

BLUE JAYS 10
Rays 5

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 10–5 Blue Jays

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Rays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 35% 65% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 47% 53%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 25% 75%
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 44% 56% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

60–63

49% across 123 games

Rays this season

61–60

50% across 121 games